Tag Archives: Iran

Iran and the price of stupid

You’ve probably heard the Toddler says he doesn’t think about what the Iran war is costing Americans. Scott Lemieux: “Republican midterm messaging is being hampered by the facts that 1)Trump’s policies are directly responsible for making things more expensive after he won on a promise to make things cheaper, 2)nobody likes them on their own merits, and 3)as his inhibitions decline even further he can’t even pretend to care at this point:” All that matters is that everyone acclaim him as a great war leader who also negotiated a better agreement than the black president. Even though he won’t succeed at either goal.

JD Vance goes with the administration’s usual lie: inflation caused by the Iran war is all Biden’s fault. The Toddler is employing another favorite tactic, whining: Democrats who oppose him are traitors. He’s also started saying “Dumocrats” because the press were soooo impressed in 2016 that he’d make up mean nicknames for his opponents. I don’t think it’s going to help this time. Rubio is doing his duty as a Toddler Toady, brushing off Republican criticism of the latest cease-fire. Or alleged cease-fire — I suspect this is as much vaporware as all the other deals the Toddler thinks he’s made with Iran. And it appears he’s pushing them and every other nation in the Middle East to sign on to the Abraham Accords with Israel. That might well sink the deal.

Fox news is following the party line, lying that “He is restoring American strength on the world stage and he is disarming a terrorist regime of the possibility of getting a nuclear weapon.” Being confounded by a third rate military power is not restoring American strength, neither is running up a $29 billion bill to do it. and Obama’s agreement, which the Toddler tore up, was doing just fine keeping them from going non-nuclear. The Toddler, of course, lies about this; it’s bad enough people aren’t gushing over him as an awesome war hero but to say he’s not handling Iran as well as the Black President? Mike Johnson, who had to table a vote on the war because he couldn’t guarantee Republicans voting against it, has also lied that nobody but the Toddler could have brought Iran to the negotiating table.

As for negotiating, remember back in early April the Toddler was going to rain destruction on Iran if they didn’t reopen the straight? Don’t get me wrong, I don’t want us destroying another Middle Eastern country so our president can strut and declare “mission accomplished!”, but it drives home that the Toddler is doing the opposite of restoring American strength.

Paul Krugman says some of this is that for all its technological sophistication, the military is unprepared to fight a drone war — and this would be a problem even with good leadership. That said, it doesn’t help that our Secretary of War is ignorant, unqualified and a shitty human being: “Extreme though Hegseth may be, he is a recognizable type: a jockish, puerile white man, a boy you knew in your public high school, if you went to one. He is the Jersey Shore as much as he is Kansas, Florida, Texas, and Oregon. You may recall him as the guy who shoved queer kids into trash cans in the cafeteria and said things about girls like “You’d need a crowbar to get her legs open.” As an adult, Hegseth is a man whom people have described leaving a bar, shit-faced, chanting “No means yes!” and “Kill all Muslims!”

“So how will Trump and his party respond to their string of high-profile policy failures, from Iran to inflation? Trump may find a way to accept defeat in the Persian Gulf while claiming victory, although that’s looking harder by the day. But there’s no reason to believe that policymaking will get any better, that the experts and the grownups will be let back into the room. The beatings — and the willful ignorance — will continue until morale improves.”

Leave a comment

Filed under Politics

Having a Toddler as president isn’t funny

When a friend of mine described the current president as “the Necrotic Toddler” it led to me adopting “Toddler” to refer to him, rather than say the name of that scumbag when I write about him (“Felon of the United States” works too).

It’s not really fair to children — I can’t recall knowing any toddler as horrible or as spiteful as he is — but it does capture a lot of his personality. His complete lack of impulse control, his willingness to say whatever he thinks will work now, then take it back ten minutes later. His continued outraged sniveling about how he really won in 2020 — as his niece Mary said at the time, he wanted to win, he didn’t get what he wanted and that’s the most horrible thing that has happened to anyone, ever.

It also explains why, as they say in old gangsterm ovies, he’s a double-crossing rat. It doesn’t matter how loyally you serve him or support him, the moment it’s more convenient for him to throw you under the bus, he’ll do it. Only now matters. And revenge on everyone he hates, like America’s first black president. Including anyone who reports accurately how his Iran war is a failure.

Part of this, as Paul Campos says, is that “Donald Trump has lived a largely consequence-free existence, and he’s gradually discovered that all of our various “guardrails” don’t actually apply to him, at all.” As Campos has pointed out in several other posts, compliance with the rules is to a certain extent voluntary: if we all speeded or ignored redlights or cheated on our taxes, the system couldn’t handle it. In the words of the movie Changing Lanes, the system works as long as we all agree not to go apeshit.

The Toddler has figured out that he can always escape consequences. Not that he’s unique: money allowed hit-and-run driver Rebecca Grossman to postpone her trail for three years (thanks to good lawyers) while she stayed free on bail and got a sympathetic profile in the media. Happily a court rejected her recent appeal. The Toddler has more money, fewer principles and more belligerence than Grossman. He’s ducked consequences by declaring bankruptcy, threatening to sue people, refusing to pay them (suing him would be a lot more work than it’s worth) and whining. Or simply refusing to follow the rules (one example) and trusting nobody will do anything about it.

As I put it a couple of years ago, “Trump has repeatedly publicized the names of people in his various trials such as judges, judges’ family, witnesses and jurors. He’s been placed under gag orders and violates them … which would get most people locked away in jail. But he’s an important person so he gets a pass.” He gets away with grabbing women because he’s rich and powerful and they know pushing back might be worse for them. He got out of one legal mess by a large donation to Pam Bondi’s campaign when she was Florida AG.

The victim of one of the Toddler’s sexual assaults, E. Jean Carroll won her defamation lawsuit against him. Now the Justice Department is trying to replace him as defendant, because you can’t sue the government for defamation. Her judgment against him would go away; the Toddler will undoubtedly lie that this exonerates him, just like he keeps lying that he’s been exonerated from any association with Jeffrey Epstein’s sex trafficking. He’s also figuring out how he can sue his own government and collect. Apparently it will be a $1.7 billion slush fund to reward allies who got caught and punished for their crimes.

I’ve seen arguments that the sheer flood of rottenness also deadens the senses. What would be a career-ending scandal for Biden or Obama is just one of a half-dozen outrages a day in the Toddler years. Consider, for example, Toddler Junior investing in a company that wants to be the Amazon of mail-order guns. By a strange coincidence, the administration is looking at changing the rules to make that possible. Just great. Likewise, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy spent seven months on the road making a reality show paid for by companies with a stake in transportation rather than do the job he’s paid for (not the only scandal in Duffy’s orbit).

The Toddler has also benefited, as this Bluesky post puts it, from so many people treating him as amusing: “I think the disconnect between Atlantic elites is that Americans think Donald Trump is a kid getting to drive a monster truck for Make A Wish and Europeans and Canadians think Donald Trump is the president of the United States.” In 2016 they gushed about how he threw mean nicknames around, how edgy! A few years ago (I can’t find the link) during Biden’s presidency a couple of journalists whined because the Toddler’s Twitter ban was in place — come on, we all miss seeing his insane, rage-filled lies, don’t we? Admit it! It’s so unfair not getting to watch him freak out over this, that or the other thing!

Or consider the comment one anonymous Republican gave before 1/6: sure, we’re humoring him when he says he really won the election — it makes him happy and what does it hurt? Now, of course “he won!” is Republican orthodoxy, even though it remains a lie (and not even a credible lie).

This is one reason the war in Iran has gone so badly: the Iranians have no reason to humor the Toddler, kiss his ass or to go soft on him. I imagine if they could get a satisfactory deal to end the war, they’d be fine with the Toddler getting to brag that he won; that would be sensible for both sides as a way out of this. However the Toddler isn’t sensible; he has no idea how to negotiate, no idea that qualified, competent negotiators would do better than his son-in-law, can’t accept that he doesn’t dominate the situation (or the Iranians). It’s much easier to post AI slop about Iran (see the Campos link) than fix things. Or whine about how anyone who says he hasn’t completely beaten Iran is committing treason. And as it’s all about his ego and how it reflects on him, he doesn’t care how it’s hurting Americans. Or Iranians, who are getting it far worse.

It’s one reason he might try some trick to run again, despite what the Constitution clearly says. He’s never let rules stop him before and as Campos said in another post (which I can’t find the link for), he’s an attention junkie who knows he’ll never get the world’s eyes on him again if he steps down for good. No more coverage of his TruthSocial posts, no more taking him seriously, nothing. And what if a Democratic president tears down his big beautiful ballroom and takes his name off everything? Waaah!

I’d love to see it happen though the media will undoubtedly freak if a Democrat makes things that personal. I hope our next candidate has the spine and determination to do it anyway.

Leave a comment

Filed under Politics

The voting rights act is history, mifepristone is still around, our military greatness is fading: three mini-posts

John Roberts has spent his years on the court whittling away at democracy in favor of Republican dominance. Most recently we have the destruction of the Voting Rights Act by the typical twisted “logic” of the Roberts court: sure, gerrymandering purely for racist purposes is bad but if you disenfranchise POC for political advantage, that’s not racist. Yes, it’s bullshit, and it takes a sledgehammer to the political power of black Americans. It’s the Republican yearning for the days of the 1950s (only with fewer civil rights marches) made concrete.

What white Republicans want is not only to get “their” country back but to get back the days when the status of whites was unquestioned. Having white men in charge was the way things were and everyone accepted that. There never was such a time — the fight for equality goes back to the birth of America — but they imagine there was. And that if we go back there, they can shut out the whisper in the back of the brain that they really aren’t better than African-Americans, Latinos, women, gays, etc. (though I’m quite sure many of them have buried that truth where they will never have to face it). The Republicans on SCOTUS (the “Sinister Six” as some call them) are all in and not really trying to hide it. LawDork discusses some of the legal fallout. Paul Campos looks at the underlying obsession with undoing the 1960s.

2)Another court has blocked the FDA rule that allows mifepristone to be prescribed without an in-person visit. At the link, Jessica Valenti explains that yes, it’s still possible to obtain mifepristone legally, or to use misoprostol only, though that’s a slower process. The decision is still serious but Republicans are playing it up as A Total Ban, Mifepristone Abortions Are A Crime Now. They’re lying. LawDork’s link has more about that too. SCOTUS has laid down a short ban on the ruling taking effect.

And here’s some good news on abortion and maternal health care.

3)In the Toddler’s desperate quest to build a legacy that will after him, he’s pushing to build super-battleships. At the link, Paul Krugman points out drone warfare works very well against battleships. And each battleship would cost $17 billion. “Each of these ships would, for example, cost almost twice the pre-Trump annual budget of the National Science Foundation, although the NSF, like all funding sources for research, is now facing savage budget cuts. On the other hand, it would be hard for Trump to stick his name on research grants.” As Krugman puts it, we’re the Death Star and the Iranians are the rebels kicking our ass (that is, obviously, about asymmetric military power, not morals).

And now Pete Hegseth has begun bringing his wife to Pentagon meetings, even though she has no military status or any official role. And he’s appointed his brother as senior adviser. I see no way this improves things. And not for the first time, I wish reporters would ask how, given the obvious strain Hegseth is under, he’s coping with avoiding alcohol.

I’ll close with a gift link (I think it is) to a grim article on the ways the sniveling Toddler could disrupt the midterms rather than endure what looks like a humiliating defeat. Which will lead to a de facto dictatorship which will make everything worse.

2 Comments

Filed under Politics, Undead sexist cliches

Iran: this is why character matters

Back during the W administration, a blogger (I forget whom) had a post up about the importance of character in our leaders. Not so much being a good or moral person, though that’s part of it, but that no matter how good someone’s policies are, they’ll inevitably faces challenges that aren’t matters of policy. How will they react?

FDR faced Pearl harbor. JFK had the Cuban Missile Crisis. Jimmy Carter had the Iranian embassy hostage-taking. W had 9/11. Kennedy handled his crisis well. FDR handled the military side well, but also greenlit sending Japanese Americans to concentration camps. W’s response to an attack by terrorists was to seize what looked like a golden opportunity and invade Iraq.

Dealing with self-inflicted wounds is another area. Clinton’s adultery, Reagan selling weapons to Iran, LBJ using a supposed Vietnamese attack as justification for sending in ground troops to Vietnam. Which brings us to our current situation vis a vis Iran.

Iran is entirely a self-inflicted wound. The Toddler in Chief made one of America’s stupidest foreign policy decisions because he thought crushing Iran would prove what a badass he was and couldn’t imagine any other outcome. And because it’s in Netanhay’s interest we attack (Netanhayu has been pushing for us to do it for years) and also Saudi Arabia. Because he’s a stupid man who assumes he can dominate every situation, we’re now in way over his head. The world’s most powerful military is losing to a much less powerful nation.

As I wrote in an earlier post, the Toddler can’t accept losing; when thwarted, he immediately tries throwing his wait around in a different stupid manner (no matter how much Karoline “Axis Sally Leavitt” lies about how well-read he is). So having previously insisted the Strait of Hormuz is unimportant and Europe should liberate it, the Toddler is now threatening to blow Iran to kingdom come if they don’t open it.

As Paul Krugman says, this is very bad — targeting civilian infrastructure is a war crime. Particularly when it’s a war we didn’t have to fight, one that’s more about the Toddler’s ego than our own country’s needs.

Then we have the utterly incompetent Secretary of War Pete Hegseth who pointedly held a Good Friday service at the Pentagon Chapel … Protestants only. As I’ve said before, this is why we have a First Amendment — because bigots will interpret “Christian nation” as meaning their brand of Christianity and no other. He’s also a misogynist and racist who we recently learned actively opposed promotion of qualified POC and women to higher rank. And wants personal loyalty from the officer corps.

Stay tuned for more bad news. I’m sure it’s on the way.

Leave a comment

Filed under Politics

I saw this coming in the Toddler President’s first term

If y’all think back, you remember the Toddler whining about Europe even then. NATO sucked. The European countries were leeches sucking money out of the US so they didn’t have to spend on their own defense. Maybe it was time the USA let NATO fend for itself, huh? Now, things have changed, and the Toddler is whining that Europe should save his ass, as I blogged about last month. He wasn’t prepared for Iran to close the Straits of Hormuz; now he’s suggesting that Europe should handle the easy-peasy task of getting ships through it.

What I thought when the rants against Europe began is that the Toddler has spent his life avoiding consequences for his actions. It’s no surprise he’d think there’d be no consequences this time, that if he needed Europe to help him of course they would. I doubted the situation would come up — what were the odds of another 9/11 — but it turns out he didn’t need one. He went ahead and launched a stupid, pointless war for no good reason. Sure enough, he’s been whining that Europe needs to fix this for him and he seems outraged whining hasn’t worked (it probably doesn’t help that he and Marco Rubio have demolished our diplomatic corps).

Why would our allies help? He considers them, much more than Russia, a threat to the world’s future as he envisions it — the threat of “transparency, accountability, civil rights, and the rule of law.” He’s threatened to attack Denmark for Greenland, openly levied tariffs on Europe because he feels slighted, bullies and threatens their leaders, says he might not support Europe if Russia attacks (hell, he won’t support America when Russia acts against us). If they did everything he wanted, he might then attack Greenland and levy more tariffs because loyalty is not his way. Hell, the Ukraine’s given him advice on dealing with drone warfare and the Toddler’s still thinking about diverting Ukraine aid to Iran.

It’s also true to the Toddler’s MO that he’s gotten away in the past by lying and demanding everyone pretend it’s true. Whether it was destroying Iran’s nuclear capability last week to declaring he’s already accomplished regime change, it’s worked for him in the US — but Iran’s not playing and there’s a good chance his lies will shatter when they hit reality (as detailed at the first link in the paragraph). Iran’s able to hurt us and he has no idea how to deal with it. Except his usual approach which is to keep spewing bullshit: he doesn’t care whether we negotiate with Iran or not, closing the Strait won’t hurt the US, if gas prices go up people know it’s for a good cause (and they may go way, way up), plus lies about how he negotiated with the Sharpie company to get $5 pens instead of Biden’s $1,000 pens.

I didn’t expect the war would go this badly. But then, the head of our military under the Toddler is Pete Hegseth, who “doesn’t like people who are competent at their jobs. He wants people who are into lethality and dumb shows of force, which is not a good thing in a 21st century military.”

In the meantime, the Republicans are making hay, using the war as an excuse to cut federal healthcare spending (just as military urgency suddenly justifies removing protection from endangered whales). They’ll still end up awash in red ink, as they did in the Toddler’s first term (and W’s presidency, and Reagans). The legend that Republicans are fiscally conservative refuses to die. The myth of the Toddler as a competent leader may be about to collapse, maybe. It’s a shame so many ordinary people will pay a price in the process.

The world too; flawed though America always was when it played the world’s policeman, we did some good. The Pax Americana, though, is dead: “The underwriter of this world order has now become a revisionist power, and some people would even say a disruptor. But the larger point is that the erosion of norms, processes, and institutions that underpinned a remarkable period of peace and prosperity; that foundation has gone.” We are now part of the Axis of Evil.

Leave a comment

Filed under Politics

It’s foolish to write about Iran in advance

Heck, on Monday alone, we had the Toddler President declare Iran was negotiating peace, then Iran replied no, they weren’t. However I rarely write my posts the day they go live, so here we go. Fortunately these are less current updates than links to deeper insights.

Commenting on the Toddler’s lies about negotiating, Cheryl Rofer says “The best explanation for the words that drop from Trump’s mouth is that he tries things out to see what the marks will pick up. It’s not lying or fantasizing, but there’s not a simple word for it. I know that “bullshit” has been suggested in a specialized meaning, but the normal use interferes. It’s complicated by his need to always win, always humiliate his opponents. There is probably an element of fantasizing, but how he is perceived by others is also an important factor.”

People are betting on the progress of the war. They’ve threatened one journalist for refusing to change a story about a missile hitting Israel.

The Necrotic Toddler running this country has been talking about dead people walking around without legs. We have minesweepers we could use in the Straits; he and SecWar Hegseth didn’t think to put them in position before the war started.

“He told Welker how little he really cares about gas prices. Since this war started, gas has gone from $2.94 a gallon to $3.66. That’s a 72-cent jump in two weeks. People are already feeling it at the pump and growing increasingly concerned about how high it will go and how they will be able to cover the increasing costs. And when Welker asked Trump directly whether rising gas prices could hurt Republicans in the midterms, he said, “I’m not concerned at all.” He added, “There’s so much oil, gas, there’s so much out there, but you know, it’s being clogged up a little bit. It’ll be unclogged very soon.”

Related to the above: “Iranian attacks ‌have knocked out 17% of Qatar’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) export capacity, causing an estimated $20 billion in lost annual revenue and threatening supplies to Europe and Asia, QatarEnergy’s CEO and state minister for energy affairs told Reuters on Thursday.” But never mind, Interior Secretary Doug Burgum is celebrating the Toddler’s ongoing effort to eliminate alternative energy in this country — “the era of affordable, reliable and secure energy is here to stay.” This is not only a lie, it’s a stupid lie. All their lies are because they have no way to grapple with reality.

“What we are seeing in just the first few days of the US bombing of Iran is no normal fog of war. It is unprecedented I would argue. We have seen arguably the worst friendly fire incident in modern US history, the worst articulations of war aims, the worst economic/industrial preparations for a war, and, tragically, what might very well be amongst the worst war crimes in US history. To have just one of these things in at the start of the war would be a failure, to have all of them….”

“This isn’t a case of oderint dum metuant — let them hate so long as they fear. Instead, the world increasingly holds America in contempt.” As witness Iranian officials declaring “Someone like us will never come to terms with someone like you.”

““It is not the intelligence community’s responsibility to determine what is and is not an imminent threat,” — Tulsi Gabbard, US intelligence head, trying to avoid saying anything that would upset the Toddler. Spoiler: yes, it is their responsibility.

Cheryl Rofer, who has some knowledge of nuclear issues, says attempting to recover Iran’s nuclear material would be a bad idea.

We already know Russia has a big influence on Putin’s Poodle. Paul Krugman points out how much influence petrostates such as Saudi Arabia have on policies from embracing fossil fuels to attacking Iran. “Why does Gulf oil money play an outsized role in U.S. corruption? Because petrostates, unlike advanced democracies, combine vast wealth with secrecy and a complete blurring of the lines between public office and private gain. So they’re better placed than anyone else to line U.S. officials’ pockets.”

Ukraine is offering us support with its expertise in drone warfare. Nevertheless Hegseth says we wouldn’t run out of munitions except Biden sent them all to the Ukraine. Hegseth also keeps on blaming the media for not gushing enough.

“For the moment the point is: Trump and Hegseth exult in seeing things blow up, as in a video game, and crowing like teenagers because they’ve “won.” That is not how this story is likely to end.”

“[Trump] also said that “Iran wants to make a deal,” but he has declined “because the terms aren’t good enough yet.” Today Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said Tehran had not even asked for negotiations, let alone a ceasefire.”

Anyone who thinks we’re on the side of right in fighting for Iran — well, they’re probably happy we’re also embracing Hungarian dictator Viktor Orban.

“Nine former members of the bureau told Kramer it seems clear the administration did not prepare for a global oil crisis. Trump’s claim that “nobody expected” Iran to hit other countries in the Middle East supports their statement because, as they told Kramer, previous administrations planned for exactly that scenario.”

“Not only was the Bush administration exploiting an actual security threat, always better campaigners than governors they also engaged in an all-hands-on-deck propaganda campaign, having a popular president as the front man. Trump has none of this going for him, and it shows” — Scott Lemieux on how W’s White House built support for the Iraq invasion.

Republicans also seem to think they can punch down at Muslims as freely as the W administration did. And they’re repeating familiar bullshit claims about how they’re saving us from Sharia law.

That said, “The men who want to Make America Great Again are searching for a clean break from the Global War on Terror. That conflict was launched with lofty rhetoric about democracy and freedom but led to years of civil war, chaos, swollen ranks of terror groups, genocide, a refugee crisis and, in Afghanistan, a complete, humiliating failure. What these men don’t seem to realize, or care about, is that their language of brute force represents a fundamental break with American traditions around war going back to the Revolution.

“Boastful talk about slaughter is as old as war itself. “The wheels of my war chariot,” bragged one Assyrian king, “were bespattered with filth and blood. With the bodies of their warriors, I filled the plain, like grass.” But America’s founders asserted universal principles that should make such an attitude unthinkable. If you believe not only that all men are created equal but also that governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed, then war cannot be justified as a pure display of power and dominance.

In his addresses to the troops, George Washington would bring up the imagery of violence not as a spectacle to be enjoyed but as horrors to be endured — from “mercenary hirelings fighting in the cause of lawless ambition, rapine and devastation” to those who wished to keep revolutionary America in “bondage and misery.” And when news of British atrocities reached him, Washington wrote that “their wanton cruelty injures rather than benefits their cause; that, with our forbearance, justly secures to us the attachment of all good men.”

Given the Toddler and his party have shown themselves incapable of admitting defeat or course correcting, this will not go well, nor end well. Though of course the Toddler may not grasp this because his toadies’ job includes shielding him from reality, for example “briefing” him with a montage of shit blowing up (“the videos are also driving Trump’s increasing frustration with news coverage of the war. Trump has pointed to the success depicted in the daily videos to privately question why his administration can’t better influence the public narrative, asking aides why the news media doesn’t emphasize what he’s seeing, one of the current U.S. officials and the former U.S. official said.”). And we have Alan Dershowitz — friend of Jeffrey Epstein, ardent Toddler toady — declaring that just as the Toddler is saving us from Iran, he would have stopped the Holocaust. No, he wouldn’t.

Leave a comment

Filed under Politics

Your Tuesday Iran war update

In 2016, the media portrayed the Necrotic Toddler as the peace candidate, as opposed to the bloodthirsty warhawk Hilary Clinton. Siiiigh. The Toddler’s greatest ability has always been that people see him as whatever they want him to be, even though the truth of his rottenness has always been obvious. And of course if Clinton or Harris had broken off a war discussion to talk about fancy shoes, it would have been held up as proof women shouldn’t be in public office. Male privilege at its finest.

Of course the Toddler having Putin interfere in our elections proved an advantage too. And it’s still paying off: as the prospect of high oil prices looms, the Toddler’s lifting sanctions on Russian oil. Putin will undoubtedly give him a big belly scratch for being such a good doggy. Though covering his bases, the Toddler insists high energy prices don’t matter and “Axis Sally” Leavitt insists they’ll go way down as soon as we win. Oh he’s also speculating whether his war on Iran will somehow earn him the Nobel Peace Prize. Damn, he really wants a participation trophy. He’s also finding ways to milk the war for money.

Unsurprisingly despite the reckless efforts of the past year to gut every program that helps people, the administration has declared an unlimited military budget. Not that it’ll do much good: they did not plan for Iran mining the Strait of Hormuz. Whiny SecDef “Whisky Pete” Hegseth insists that’s a lie. I suspect he’s as uninterested in truth as his boss. He’s also outraged that press photographers don’t make him look good enough. When in doubt, whine the media are biased. FCC Chair Brendan Carr has gone further, warning the networks to provide more positive war news — or else (points to the usual odious Sen. Ron Johnson for pushing back)! The Toddler insists we will soon have the straits open as we’ve completely destroyed their military capacity. Oh, and while we’ve (allegedly) demolished one target “we may hit it a few more times just for fun.” Which fits with Hegseth declaring “no quarter asked or given.”

The Toddler is also whining that he expects Europe and others to help clear the Strait — “If there’s no response or if it’s a negative response I think it will be very bad for the future of NATO,” Says the man who threatened to take Greenland from Denmark and has spent much of his presidency grumbling how NATO sucks. So far, most of then are saying no. Which makes more sense than Hegseth saying the Strait is open — it’s only closed because Iran is bombing it. Well, yes.

And while we spend billions, cheap drones make Iran’s retaliations way more effective than they’d have been a few decades ago. Despite Hegseth’s fantasies about how testosterone-powered manly Americans will smash everything in their path. We have, however, proven very good at killing small girls, even though the school had an easy-to-find online presence. Hmm, is it possible cutting a program to minimize civilian casualties was a mistake? Not for Hegseth who thinks war should be brutal and bloodthirsty enough to make him feel manly. And I’m sure the Toddler doesn’t care.

And the Toddler understands nothing: “what’s become even more clear in the two weeks since is that Donald Trump doesn’t understand — and isn’t remotely interested in understanding — the reality of the situation in Iran. The administration’s entire gamble appears to be that Iran would be Venezuela — they could conduct a single night of strikes, decapitate the leadership, and then through geopolitical magic a Delcy Rodríguez figure would emerge to lead Iran peacefully and cooperatively.

Now that not-even-half-baked plan has failed to materialize, it’s clear that there’s no Plan B. Quite the contrary — we seem to have a US government that wakes up each day completely befuddled and surprised to find it’s involved in a conflict in Iran.”

Perhaps that’s why the best he can say about a satisfactory end to the war is “when I feel it in my bones.”

As several people have said, the Toddler is quite simply stupid. Completely stupid. Stupider than we imagine. He has no plan B because that would require thinking about consequences instead of doing whatever seems best for him at any given moment. As he’s always been able to buy, lie or bully his way out of a problem, he’s convinced there will never be any consequences for this approach. Alienating NATO? That’ll never cause any problems later, so why not? As Jamelle Bouie put it in his newsletter (no link, sorry), “Trump expected more or less instant success — a short conflict followed by regime change and another victory under his belt. The idea that there might be unintended consequences — and the fundamental reality that the Iranian government has both agency and the capacity to act — does not seem to have either troubled the president’s mind or figured much in the calculations of his closest advisers.”

This will not end well for anyone. Bouie, again: “But the world actually exists. Real lives are at stake. And his actions have weight that cannot be easily moved. There is no channel to change, and you can’t rewind the action. Trump made his foolhardy decision and now we must live with the consequences.”

3 Comments

Filed under Politics

War should not be a stage for Hegseth and the Toddler president to strut upon

Pete Hegseth: “We’re playing for keeps. Our warfighters have maximum authorities granted personally by the president and yours truly. Our rules of engagement are bold, precise, and designed to unleash American power, not shackle it. This was never meant to be a fair fight, and it is not a fair fight. We are punching them while they’re down, which is exactly how it should be.”

Actually the purpose of rules of engagement and rules of war is indeed to shackle the combatants: no bombing hospitals, no torturing of prisoners, no blowing up schools. Hegseth, having had a more distinguished career at Fox News than in the military, seems to feel there’s not enough toxic masculinity in observing such nitpicking. And that his duty as SecDef is to act tough for the camera.

I’m also bothered by that bit about how the authority was “granted personally.” As if the Necrotic Toddler he servers were King Donald (as he so wishes to be) and Hegseth were his vassal, giving orders to armed knights. What Hegseth does, he does as an official of the United States government, as does his boss. It isn’t “personal” in a sense. But as Paul Campos says at the link above, it’s striking “how many top Nazis and MAGATS share the same basic social profile, i.e., lifelong catastrophic fuckup who failed upward under conditions ripe for such people to ascend to positions for which they were farcically unqualified.” And yes, the Toddler is one of those.

Let’s step back in time. If you’re too young to remember the 2003 Gulf War, the occupation of Iraq that followed was a massive drain on our military preparedness, got lots of soldiers killed (and many, may more Iraqis), and accomplished nothing other than removing Saddam. Based on a threat of WMDs that never existed. Despite which the press were happy to gush about W as a great, great war leader — oh, how we Americans love it when our president has a swagger! He’ll destroy our enemies with the same relentlessness with which he clears brush off his Texas farmland — yes, one reporter wrote that (the media often presented W, a child of wealth and a Yale graduate, as a plain-spoken Texas farmer).

One difference is that in 2003, Democrats solidly supported W’s war. Not this time, though Republicans are all in (and so are a handful of Democrats). As the Constitution requires Congress to declare war, Republicans are declaring it can’t be a war, therefore the Toddler is in charge. The administartion’s rationale for doing it without consulting Congress is equally dubious.

And much like the Iraq war, bigots such as Laura Loomer are now declaring its time to round up American Muslims. Because …? Apparently she’s fine with Nazi tactics when they’re not directed at Jews such as herself.

The Toddler and Hegseth almost make W look like he was a competent war leader — and he was emphatically not a competent war leader. The stated reasons for rushing to war are completely inconsistent when they’re not incoherent — Iran was weeks from having a nuke (despite the Toddler declaring last year that we’d annihilated Iran’s nuclear facilities)! Israel was going to attack, Iran would have retaliated against us, therefore there was an imminent threat! It’s regime change! It’s not regime change! The toddler wants unconditional surrender! It’s because we’ve been at war with Iran for 47 years!

This has become the right-wing catchphrase of the day. It’s a lie. We’ve been hostile, but not at war. And fixating on Iran seizing our embassy 47 years ago as the start of things that we overthrew their democratically elected government and installed the Shah as our puppet dictator more than a decade earlier.

Karoline “Axis Sally” Leavitt is faux-outraged that the press a)mention the war dead on the front page and b)quote Hegseth accurately. Why can’t they say how wonderful her boss is? She does that constantly, but she’s lying. While I realize the press secretary is supposed to stick up for their employer, that’s no excuse: Leavitt didn’t have to take the job and become a lying fascist toady.

Hegseth is similarly whining that sure, “tragic things happen” but the press should be reporting how awesome his leadership is, not mentioning dead American soldiers on the front page (and he’s definitely not mentioning allegations an Iranian warship we torpedoed may have been unarmed, and we knew it).! He’s also an idiot when he claims “the terms of this war will be set by us at every step” — no, they won’t be. The Iranians have a say too. Hell, the Toddler and “Whisky Pete” can’t even decide whether this is a quick decisive strike and possibly being in Iran or bombing them, for months or years. “But many reports suggest that the United States doesn’t have enough left in its weapons stockpiles to continue the current pace of action for more than a few days without dangerously weakening the military’s ability to counter other threats, such as a potential Chinese attack on Taiwan.” A Kuwaiti fighter shot down three American F-15s in error; those aren’t cheap either. Our Navy may not be able to provide the Toddler’s promised merchant vessel protection.

It’s going to hit our economy hard. By interfering with the oil flow, the Toddler’s making the case for renewable energy — solar power can’t be cut off in a time of war.

We’re talking spending billions to make the Toddler and his SecWar feel like they’re real men. There’s lots we could do with that money. As usual Republicans only care about the budget when they object to doing stuff that helps people (W left office after racking up record red ink too). And no, the press are not making the Toddler and Hegseth look bad — they’re self-owning.

“The White House has helped MAGA influencers escape the Middle East on a private jet while more than a million ordinary Americans are still trapped with no way out.” Paul Krugman: “U.S. officials have urged all Americans in the region to leave, but they did so after almost all flights had been canceled. Only now are they saying that they’re going to arrange flights on military aircraft and charter flights — an airlift that will have to be immense given that there are surely tens of thousands of Americans currently stranded. Did I mention that Trump and co. clearly went to war without a plan?”

As for regime change: “Asked who he would like to take over Iran, Mr. Trump gave a strikingly blunt answer. “Most of the people we had in mind are dead,” he said. “Now we have another group, they may be dead also, based on reports. “So you have a third wave coming. Pretty soon we’re not going to know anybody.”” However he’s asserted it should be his decision who takes the reins.

A few final notes:

How about betting markets on the war’s outcome? Their spokespeople insist they don’t do bad stuff like bet on the deaths of the enemy leaders but “it’s just that the company would rather let you bet on the deaths and suffering of civilians rather than dictators and presidents. Betting that Khamenei would stay in power is an explicit bet that he would be allowed to continue silencing dissent and killing those who oppose him; betting that he would be deposed is an explicit bet on what has already become a very deadly, illegal regional war.

The Toddler, who’s been in shit fits because South Korea and Brazil arrested their presidents for crimes, wants a pardon for Netanhayu. Here’s a counter-argument for ending our close relationship with Israel.

The reports of Christian military officers proclaiming this is the start of Armageddon may be inaccurate. Though plenty of right-wing preachers outside the military make a similar claim.

Russia’s providing Iran with intelligence about our operations. The Toddler doesn’t care.

Leave a comment

Filed under Politics